BLS defines “unemployed” individuals as “all persons who are without jobs
and are actively seeking and available to
work.”
18
Add the underemployed—those
marginally attached to the work force or
working part time because they cannot
find full-time jobs—and the scope is
staggering. BLS estimates that the
number of unemployed and underemployed now totals more than 25 million
Americans.
Plus, a million discouraged workers
have stopped looking for jobs.
The U.S. population has continued to
grow, yet its labor force has shrunk. The
employment-to-population ratio is the
lowest it’s been in 28 years—only 58.2%
of the U.S. population 16 years old and
older is working. Before the recession, it
was as high as 63.4%.
19
GDP has nearly recovered, but
employment has not. Only 1. 8 million
jobs have been created since nonfarm
employment began growing again in
March 2010.20 In mid-2011, the unem-
ployment rate remained above 9%.21
Figure 6: The Lag Time Between When Recessions End and Nonfarm
Employment Returns to Its Prerecession Level Has Been Increasing Sharply
After Recent Recessions. If the 2011 Pace of Job Growth Were to Continue,
Nonfarm Employment Would Return to Its 2007 Peak at the End of 2016.
80
Months From End of Recession to When Nonfarm Employment Returned to its
Prerecession Level
79?
70
60
50
40
39
30
23
20
13
12
10
12
10
9
9
6
0
1948
1953
2007 2001 1990 1981 1973 1969 1960 1957
Source: National Bureau of Economic Research, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Make Permanent the Research and Experimentation Tax Credit The research and development (experi- mentation) tax credit is a crucial to creating high-quality American jobs and ensuring a robust, competitive U.S. economy. —Eric Spiegel, president and chief executive officer of Siemens Corp. Continued on page 22 Continued from page 19 Staffing Success 21
Give Help to the Unemployed
The best stimulus policy would be simpler and more generous help for the unemployed. Unemployment insurance needs to
be codified in a way that people understand
and more can get the help they need when
they need it. A well-designed system would
provide timely help and effective stimulus
automatically, with no need for political intervention—a big advantage so long as Congress remains a broken institution. Generous
support for retraining and relocation should
also be offered to the unemployed.
—Clive Crook, senior editor of the
Atlantic
Cut Corporate Taxes by a Third
The single most important thing to jump-start job creation is to reduce the corporate
tax rate to 23%. Within five years, the corporate tax reduction would boost real GDP
by $281.6 billion ( 1.8%), create an additional
260,000 jobs ( 2.0% of these would be in
manufacturing), and increase total employment by 1.83 million ( 1.3%).
—Ross DeVol, executive director
of economic research of the Milken
Institute
Create an American
Infrastructure Bank
Globally, almost every country in the
world benefits from an infrastructure bank
to attract the large-scale private capital that
is essential to financing domestic economic
self-sufficiency, competitiveness, and resiliency. Except for us. That must change.
—Michael Likosky, senior fellow at
New York University’s Institute for Public
Knowledge